S&P futures are up big on the last trading day of Q2, but Bitcoin is cratering and the Fear & Greed sits at 27. I'm not chasing this gap — I'm watching levels and sizing down.
Last day of Q2 and the tape is putting on a show — SPX up 1.18%, tech and consumer both ripping over 2%. But I'm not buying the euphoria. Bitcoin is down 3% with Crypto Fear & Greed at 15 (Extreme Fear), and the stock-side gauge is still at 27 (Fear). That divergence between index price action and sentiment is a flag, not a green light.
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Holding my gold position with a soft stop at $3,980 — not panicking over a 0.19% dip but I won't let it turn into a full reversal. BTC at Extreme Fear 15 is not a buy signal for me yet; I need to see stabilization above $57,000 before I add. My index funds ride — I don't touch those on quarter-end window dressing noise. Day trade size is at half normal risk today. The Q2 close ramp is real but so is the sentiment disconnect. I'm watching NNBR off the open for a momentum scalp, stop goes below $3.35. If SPX fades below $7,400 in the last hour, I'm adding a small SPY hedge into the long weekend.