SPX barely moved but the day was far from boring — crude up 3.5%, HNST +41%, ASPN +37%. Here's how I graded it and what I'm hunting tomorrow.
Flat index day, but the tape underneath told a completely different story. Crude ripping 3.5% while SPX shed 0.17% is a divergence I'm paying attention to — energy was the only sector that actually showed up today, and that's not noise.
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I graded today a B-minus. Energy caught me underleveraged — I had a half position in an XLE-adjacent name and left real money on the table. My small-cap scanner flagged zero qualifiers at open, which saved me from chasing noise, but ASPN and HNST both ran without me. That's fine. Discipline over FOMO. Crypto Fear & Greed sitting at 25 (Extreme Fear) while BTC is only down 0.32% is actually a bullish divergence I'm watching closely — sentiment is way more fearful than price action suggests. I'm not adding BTC here but I'm not trimming either. Tomorrow I'm setting alerts on OPRT $7.50 and ASPN $6.20 before the open, and if crude gaps up again I'm buying energy exposure in the first 30 minutes.
Not financial advice. Everything here is personal opinion and commentary on public market data. Do your own research.
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