Equities are gapping up hard with COMMS and INDUST leading, but crude is cratering -3% and BTC sits in Extreme Fear at 25 while the stock market plays neutral. Two clean long setups and a juicy short on the radar.
SPX futures are printing $7,600 pre-market, up nearly 1.5%, and the tape looks broad — Industrials, Consumer, and Comms all pushing hard. The divergence I'm fixated on: silver ripping +3.6% to $59.94 while crude dumps -3.1% to $77.82 and BTC sits in Extreme Fear (25) despite equities looking healthy. Something doesn't add up, and I'm not chasing blindly into this open.
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Holding gold through this move — $4,134 and still climbing, no reason to trim yet, stop moved up to $4,050. Silver position initiated last week is working beautifully. BTC at Extreme Fear (25) while I hold a core position — I'm not adding until we see $65,500 reclaimed with volume. Day trades today are sized at 75% normal risk given the gap-up open; I've been burned chasing gap rips before. If SPX holds $7,600 through the first 15 minutes, I'll look at FOSL long and GME short simultaneously. Economic data today could shift everything — sizing stays conservative until the numbers hit.
Not financial advice. Everything here is personal opinion and commentary on public market data. Do your own research.
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